Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.612982 0.786524 0.982194 1.216575 1.487123 1.787158 2.142548
2025-10-12 0.375440 0.590238 0.864345 1.227932 1.685805 2.232167 2.921997
2025-10-19 0.216392 0.428754 0.737955 1.190484 1.806274 2.587298 3.624350
2025-10-26 0.123058 0.316931 0.641122 1.162079 1.921141 2.934127 4.334324
2025-11-02 0.072592 0.247917 0.584064 1.171510 2.078055 3.338187 5.134969
2025-11-09 0.036867 0.181884 0.508438 1.132529 2.152679 3.627330 5.791744
2025-11-16 0.022136 0.153579 0.491701 1.183074 2.360678 4.109530 6.726905
2025-11-23 0.010896 0.120922 0.453332 1.185955 2.489329 4.479363 7.516640
2025-11-30 0.006521 0.108611 0.456494 1.264141 2.743172 5.042352 8.595577
2025-12-07 0.003226 0.093221 0.445816 1.311956 2.946985 5.536037 9.588260
2025-12-14 0.001148 0.075932 0.422205 1.328115 3.094902 5.947451 10.471156
2025-12-21 0.000185 0.057412 0.384765 1.306838 3.172334 6.249222 11.198655
2025-12-28 0.000011 0.046798 0.368877 1.332798 3.340193 6.706095 12.179429
2026-01-04 NaN 0.036632 0.347892 1.342759 3.478237 7.119903 13.107090
2026-01-11 NaN 0.025005 0.309600 1.301851 3.514909 7.368683 13.790285
2026-01-18 NaN 0.016877 0.278261 1.271097 3.566741 7.641934 14.515652
2026-01-25 NaN 0.012492 0.263072 1.280865 3.698911 8.052693 15.461771
2026-02-01 NaN 0.007501 0.232731 1.239252 3.720982 8.275284 16.117410
2026-02-08 NaN 0.006260 0.233681 1.292961 3.945783 8.852469 17.342176
2026-02-15 NaN 0.004184 0.219656 1.295990 4.061608 9.242737 18.277347
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003918 0.229354 1.379065 4.355349 9.951697 19.732111
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003161 0.229555 1.429825 4.580121 10.543810 21.008768
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002141 0.220571 1.446969 4.730785 11.007766 22.086715